Circulating biomarkers of airflow limitation across the life span.

BACKGROUND: Airflow limitation is a hallmark of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, which can develop through different lung function trajectories across the life span. There is a need for longitudinal studies aimed at identifying circulating biomarkers of airflow limitation across different stages of life. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to identify a signature of serum proteins associated with airflow limitation and evaluate their relation to lung function longitudinally in adults and children. METHODS: This study used data from 3 adult cohorts (TESAOD [Tucson Epidemiological Study of Airway Obstructive Disease], SAPALDIA [Swiss Cohort Study on Air Pollution and Lung and Heart Diseases in Adults], LSC [Lovelace Smoker Cohort]) and 1 birth cohort (TCRS [Tucson Children's Respiratory Study]) (N = 1940). In TESAOD, among 46 circulating proteins, we identified those associated with FEV1/forced vital capacity (FVC) percent (%) predicted levels and generated a score based on the sum of their z-scores. Cross-sectional analyses were used to test the score for association with concomitant lung function. Longitudinal analyses were used to test the score for association with subsequent lung function growth in childhood and decline in adult life. RESULTS: After false discovery rate adjustment, serum levels of 5 proteins (HP, carcinoembryonic antigen, ICAM1, CRP, TIMP1) were associated with percent predicted levels of FEV1/FVC and FEV1 in TESAOD. In cross-sectional multivariate analyses the 5-biomarker score was associated with FEV1 % predicted in all adult cohorts (meta-analyzed FEV1 decrease for 1-SD score increase: -2.9%; 95% CI: -3.9%, -1.9%; P = 2.4 × 10-16). In multivariate longitudinal analyses, the biomarker score at 6 years of age was inversely associated with FEV1 and FEV1/FVC levels attained by young adult life (P = .02 and .005, respectively). In adults, persistently high levels of the biomarker score were associated with subsequent accelerated decline of FEV1 and FEV1/FVC (P = .01 and .001). CONCLUSIONS: A signature of 5 circulating biomarkers of airflow limitation was associated with both impaired lung function growth in childhood and accelerated lung function decline in adult life, indicating that these proteins may be involved in multiple lung function trajectories leading to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Prenatal exposure to RSV season influences first-year risk of RSV lower respiratory illness and RSV-specific immune responses assessed at birth.

Maternal-to-fetal transmission of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) has been shown to occur but whether late prenatal exposure to RSV season influences offspring postnatal RSV-lower respiratory illness (LRI) risk in early life or RSV immune status at birth is unclear. In this study, the duration of third trimester RSV season exposure was determined for 1,094 newborns of the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study (TCRS) and found to show an inverse relation to risk for first RSV-LRI in the first year. Cord blood anti-RSV antibody is related to third trimester RSV season exposure but not to first year RSV-LRI risk. In a separate birth cohort (the Infant Immune Study), supernatants from cord blood mononuclear cells stimulated with the recall antigen, UV-inactivated RSV, were assayed for IFN-γ and IL-4. The frequency of detectable IFN-γ (but not IL-4) was increased for those with at least 2 mo of third trimester RSV season exposure, suggestive of a fetal immune response to RSV. IMPORTANCE Our study found that duration of third trimester exposure to RSV season related inversely to subsequent risk of postnatal RSV-LRI in the first year, thus implicating this exposure as an important factor in reducing risk of postnatal RSV-LRIs, a risk reduction that appears to be independent of maternally transferred anti-RSV antibody level. The increase in frequency of detectable IFN-γ and not IL-4 in response to UV-inactivated RSV in cord blood immune cells for infants with greater third trimester exposure to RSV season is suggestive of a Type-1 immune response to RSV occurring in utero.

Single-Cell Profiling of Premature Neonate Airways Reveals a Continuum of Myeloid Differentiation.

Single-cell genomic technologies hold great potential to advance our understanding of lung development and disease. A major limitation lies in accessing intact cells from primary lung tissues for profiling human airway health. Sampling methods such as endotracheal aspiration that are compatible with clinical interventions could enable longitudinal studies, the enrollment of large cohorts, and the development of novel diagnostics. To explore single-cell RNA sequencing profiling of the cell types present at birth in the airway lumen of extremely premature neonates (<28 wk gestation), we isolated cells from endotracheal aspirates collected from intubated neonates within the first hour after birth. We generated data on 10 subjects, providing a rich view of airway luminal biology at a critical developmental period. Our results show that cells present in the airways of premature neonates primarily represent a continuum of myeloid differentiation, including fetal monocytes (25% of total), intermediate myeloid populations (48%), and macrophages (2.6%). Applying trajectory analysis to the myeloid populations, we identified two trajectories consistent with the developmental stages of interstitial and alveolar macrophages, as well as a third trajectory presenting an alternative pathway bridging the distinct macrophage precursors. The three trajectories share many dynamic genes (N = 5,451), but also have distinct transcriptional changes (259 alveolar-specific, 666 interstitial-specific, and 285 bridging-specific). Overall, our results define cells isolated within the so-called "golden hour of birth" in extremely premature neonate airways, representing complex lung biology, and can be used in studies of human development and disease.

Circulating CC16 and Asthma: A Population-based, Multicohort Study from Early Childhood through Adult Life.

Rationale: Club cell secretory protein (CC16) is an antiinflammatory protein highly expressed in the airways. CC16 deficiency has been associated with lung function deficits, but its role in asthma has not been established conclusively. Objectives: To determine 1) the longitudinal association of circulating CC16 with the presence of active asthma from early childhood through adult life and 2) whether CC16 in early childhood predicts the clinical course of childhood asthma into adult life. Methods: We assessed the association of circulating CC16 and asthma in three population-based birth cohorts: the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study (years 6-36; total participants, 814; total observations, 3,042), the Swedish Barn/Children, Allergy, Milieu, Stockholm, Epidemiological survey (years 8-24; total participants, 2,547; total observations, 3,438), and the UK Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study (years 5-18; total participants, 745; total observations, 1,626). Among 233 children who had asthma at the first survey in any of the cohorts, baseline CC16 was also tested for association with persistence of symptoms. Measurements and Main Results: After adjusting for covariates, CC16 deficits were associated with increased risk for the presence of asthma in all cohorts (meta-analyzed adjusted odds ratio per 1-SD CC16 decrease, 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12-1.28; P < 0.0001). The association was particularly strong for asthma with frequent symptoms (meta-analyzed adjusted relative risk ratio, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.24-1.57; P < 0.0001), was confirmed for both atopic and nonatopic asthma, and was independent of lung function impairment. After adjustment for known predictors of persistent asthma, children with asthma in the lowest CC16 tertile had a nearly fourfold increased risk for having frequent symptoms persisting into adult life compared with children with asthma in the other two CC16 tertiles (meta-analyzed adjusted odds ratio, 3.72; 95% CI, 1.78-7.76; P < 0.0001). Conclusions: Circulating CC16 deficits are associated with the presence of asthma with frequent symptoms from childhood through midadult life and predict the persistence of asthma symptoms into adulthood. These findings support a possible protective role of CC16 in asthma and its potential use for risk stratification.

Cytomegalovirus serology in young to mid-adult life and decline of lung function.

INTRODUCTION: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) seropositivity has been recently linked to severity and progression of asthma, cystic fibrosis, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). To date, no longitudinal study has addressed the relation of CMV serology to levels and decline of lung function in the general adult population. METHODS: We evaluated 403 participants from the Tucson Epidemiological Study of Airway Obstructive Disease (TESAOD) who at enrollment were aged 28-55 years and completed lung function tests. During follow-up, the 403 participants completed on average 7.2 lung function tests per subject for a total of 2908 observations over a mean period of 14.7 years. We tested CMV serology in serum samples from enrollment and categorized participants into low, medium, and high CMV serology based on tertiles. The relation of CMV serology at enrollment to lung function levels and decline during follow-up was tested in multivariate random coefficients models. RESULTS: After full adjustment, participants in the highest CMV serology tertile had faster declines of forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1 ) and FEV1 /forced vital capacity (FVC) compared with subjects in the lowest tertile (by -7.9 ml/year 95% confidence interval [-13.9 ml/year, -1.93 ml/year], and by -0.13%/year [-0.23%/year, -0.026%/year], respectively). These CMV effects were additive with those of cigarette smoking. No associations were found between CMV serology and FVC, indicating specific effects of CMV seropositivity on airflow limitation. CONCLUSION: High CMV serology in young to mid-adult life may be linked to increased COPD risk through an accelerated decline of lung function.

Creatine Kinase Is Decreased in Childhood Asthma.

Rationale: The identification of novel molecules associated with asthma may provide insights into the mechanisms of disease and their potential clinical implications. Objectives: To conduct a screening of circulating proteins in childhood asthma and to study proteins that emerged from human studies in a mouse model of asthma. Methods: We included 2,264 children from eight birth cohorts from the Mechanisms of the Development of ALLergy project and the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study. In cross-sectional analyses, we tested 46 circulating proteins for association with asthma in the selection stage and carried significant signals forward to a validation and replication stage. As CK (creatine kinase) was the only protein consistently associated with asthma, we also compared whole blood CK gene expression between subjects with and without asthma (n = 249) and used a house dust mite (HDM)-challenged mouse model to gain insights into CK lung expression and its role in the resolution of asthma phenotypes. Measurements and Main Results: As compared with the lowest CK tertile, children in the highest tertile had significantly lower odds for asthma in selection (adjusted odds ratio, 95% confidence interval: 0.31; 0.15-0.65; P = 0.002), validation (0.63; 0.42-0.95; P = 0.03), and replication (0.40; 0.16-0.97; P = 0.04) stages. Both cytosolic CK forms (CKM and CKB) were underexpressed in blood from asthmatics compared with control subjects (P = 0.01 and 0.006, respectively). In the lungs of HDM-challenged mice, Ckb expression was reduced, and after the HDM challenge, a CKB inhibitor blocked the resolution of airway hyperresponsiveness and reduction of airway mucin. Conclusions: Circulating concentrations and gene expression of CK are inversely associated with childhood asthma. Mouse models support a possible direct involvement of CK in asthma protection via inhibition of airway hyperresponsiveness and reduction of airway mucin.

Club cell secretory protein and lung function in children with cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Club cell secretory protein (CC16) exerts anti-inflammatory functions in lung disease. We sought to determine the relation of serum CC16 deficits and genetic variants that control serum CC16 to lung function among children with cystic fibrosis (CF). METHODS: We used longitudinal data from CF children (EPIC Study) with no positive cultures for Pseudomonas aeruginosa prior to enrollment. Circulating levels of CC16 and an inflammatory score (generated from CRP, SAA, calprotectin, G-CSF) were compared between participants with the lowest and highest FEV1 levels in adolescence (LLF and HLF groups, respectively; N = 130-per-group). Single nucleotide variants (SNVs) in the SCGB1A1, EHF-APIP loci were tested for association with circulating CC16 and with decline of FEV1 and FEV1/FVC% predicted levels between ages 7-16 using mixed models. RESULTS: Compared with the HLF group, the LLF group had lower levels of CC16 (geometric means: 8.2 vs 6.5 ng/ml, respectively; p = 0.0002) and higher levels of the normalized inflammatory score (-0.21 vs 0.21, p = 0.0007). Participants in the lowest CC16 and highest inflammation tertile had the highest odds for having LLF (p<0.0001 for comparison with participants in the highest CC16 and lowest inflammation tertile). Among seven SNVs associated with circulating CC16, the top SNV rs3741240 was associated with decline of FEV1/FVC and, marginally, FEV1 (p = 0.003 and 0.025, respectively; N = 611 participants, 20,801 lung function observations). CONCLUSIONS: Serum CC16 deficits are strongly associated with severity of CF lung disease and their effects are additive with systemic inflammation. The rs3741240 A allele is associated with low circulating CC16 and, possibly, accelerated lung function decline in CF.

Evaluation of Swab-Seq as a scalable, sensitive assay for community surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

The ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and subsequent demand for viral testing has led to issues in scaling diagnostic lab efforts and in securing basic supplies for collection and processing of samples. This has motivated efforts by the scientific community to establish improved protocols that are more scalable, less resource intensive, and less expensive. One such developmental effort has resulted in an assay called "Swab-Seq", so named because it was originally developed to work with dry nasal swab samples. The existing gold standard test consists of RNA extracted from a nasopharyngeal (NP) swab that is subjected to quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). Swab-Seq adapts this method to a next-generation sequencing readout. By pairing this modification with extraction-free sampling techniques, Swab-Seq achieves high scalability, low cost per sample, and a reasonable turnaround time. We evaluated the effectiveness of this assay in a community surveillance setting by testing samples collected from both symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals using the traditional NP swab. In addition, we evaluated extraction-free sampling techniques (both saliva and saline mouth gargle samples). We found the assay to be as clinically sensitive as the qRT-PCR assay, adaptable to multiple sample types, and able to easily accommodate hundreds of samples at a time. We thus provide independent validation of Swab-Seq and extend its utility regarding sample type and sample stability. Assays of this type greatly expand the possibility of routine, noninvasive, repeated testing of asymptomatic individuals suitable for current and potential future needs.

The role of growth and nutrition in the early origins of spirometric restriction in adult life: a longitudinal, multicohort, population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Spirometric restriction, defined as a reduced forced vital capacity (FVC) with a preserved FEV1/FVC ratio, is associated with increased respiratory and non-respiratory comorbidities and all-cause mortality in adulthood. Little is known about the early origins of this condition. We sought to identify early-life risk factors for spirometric restriction in adult life. METHODS: In this longitudinal, multicohort, population-based study, we used data from the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study (TCRS), which recruited 1246 healthy infants at birth between April 1980, and October 1984, in Tucson, AZ, USA. Questionnaires were answered by the primary caregiver at enrolment, immediately after the child's birth, and multiple follow-up questionnaires were completed through childhood and adulthood. At the age of 22, 26, 32, and 36 years, lung function was measured with spirometry. At each survey, three mutually exclusive spirometric patterns were defined: (1) normal (FEV1/FVC ≥10th percentile and FVC ≥10th percentile); (2) restrictive (FEV1/FVC ≥10th percentile and FVC <10th percentile); and (3) obstructive (FEV1/FVC <10th percentile, independent of FVC). Data on demographic features and parental health factors were collected from questionnaires; pregnancy and perinatal data (including nutritional problems) and birth measurements were obtained from medical records; and weight, height, and body-mass index (BMI) during childhood (age 6-16 years) were measured by study nurses. The associations between early-life risk factors and spirometric patterns were assessed by multivariate multinomial logistic regression analysis, adjusted for survey year, sex, and race-ethnicity. Significant risk factors were further tested for replication in the Swedish Child (Barn), Allergy, Milieu, Stockholm, Epidemiological (BAMSE; n=1817; spirometry surveys were done at age 24 years) survey and the UK Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study (MAAS; n=411; spirometry surveys were done at age 18 years) birth cohorts, and fixed-effect meta-analyses of relative risk ratios (RRRs) from multinomial logistic regression models were done to generate a pooled estimate of the effect across the three cohorts. Measurements of body composition (MAAS; n=365) and total lung capacity (TCRS; n=173 and MAAS; n=407) were also available for a subset of participants. FINDINGS: Of 1246 healthy infants included in TCRS, for the present study we included data for 652 participants who had at least one set of spirometry data, contributing up to 1668 observations. In the TCRS cohort, results from the multivariate models showed that maternal nutritional problems during pregnancy (RRR 2·48 [95% CI 1·30-4·76]; p=0·0062), being born small for gestational age (birthweight <10th percentile; 3·26 [1·34-7·93]; p=0·0093), and being underweight in childhood (BMI-for-age <5th percentile; 3·54 [1·35-9·26]; p=0·010) were independent predictors of spirometric restriction in adult life. Associations between being small for gestational age (p=0·0028) and underweight in childhood (p<0·0001) with adult spirometric restriction were supported by the results of meta-analysis of data from all three cohorts. In the MAAS cohort, having a low lean BMI (ie, <10th percentile) at age 11 years predicted adult (age 18 years) spirometric restriction (RRR 3·66 [1·48-9·02]; p=0·0048). These associations of spirometric restriction with small for gestational age, childhood underweight, and low lean BMI in childhood were verified in participants with spirometric restriction who had diminished total lung capacity, indicating that these factors specifically increase the risk of lung restriction. INTERPRETATION: Poor growth and nutritional deficits in utero and throughout childhood precede and predict the development of spirometric restriction in adult life. Strategies to improve prenatal and childhood growth trajectories could help to prevent spirometric restriction and its associated morbidity and mortality burden. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health.

High Insulin in Early Childhood Is Associated with Subsequent Asthma Risk Independent of Body Mass Index.

BACKGROUND: Asthma and obesity are major, interconnected public health challenges that usually have their origins in childhood, and for which the relationship is strengthened among those with insulin resistance. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether high insulin in early life confers increased longitudinal risk for asthma independent of body mass index. METHODS: The study used data from the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study (TCRS) and the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC). Nonfasting insulin was measured in TCRS participants at age 6 years and fasting insulin in ALSPAC participants at age 8 years. Physician-diagnosed active asthma was determined at baseline and at subsequent assessments up to age 36 years in TCRS and 17 years in ALSPAC. RESULTS: In TCRS, high insulin (upper quartile) at age 6 years was associated with increased odds of having active asthma from ages 8 to 36 years compared with low insulin (odds ratio,1.98; 95% CI, 1.28-3.05; P = .002). Similarly, in ALSPAC, high insulin was associated with a significantly higher risk of active asthma from ages 11 to 17 years compared with low insulin (odds ratio, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.12-2.27; P = .009). These findings were independent of baseline body mass index in both cohorts, and were not related to other demographic and asthma risk factors nor other tested markers of systemic inflammation and metabolic syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: In 2 separate birth cohorts, higher blood insulin level in early childhood was associated with increased risk of active asthma through adolescence and adulthood, independent of body mass index. High insulin indicates a novel mechanism for asthma development, which may be a target for intervention.

High cytomegalovirus serology and subsequent COPD-related mortality: a longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: Positive serology for cytomegalovirus (CMV) has been associated with all-cause mortality risk but its role in COPD mortality is unknown. The objective of the present study was to assess the relationship between CMV serology and COPD mortality. METHODS: We analysed data from 806 participants in the Tucson Epidemiological Study of Airway Obstructive Disease who, at enrolment, were aged 28-70 years and had completed lung function tests. We tested CMV serology in sera from enrolment and defined "high CMV serology" as being in the highest tertile. Vital status, date and cause of death were assessed through death certificates and/or linkage with the National Death Index up to January 2017. The association of CMV serology with all-cause and cause-specific mortality risk was tested in Cox models adjusted for age, sex, level of education, body mass index, smoking status and pack-years. RESULTS: High CMV serology was marginally associated with all-cause mortality (p=0.071) but the effect was inversely dependent on age, with the association being much stronger among participants <55 years than among participants ≥55 years at enrolment (p-value for CMV-by-age interaction <0.001). Compared with low CMV serology, high CMV serology was associated with mortality from COPD among all subjects (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 2.38, 95% CI 1.11-5.08; p=0.025) and particularly in subjects <55 years old at enrolment (HR 5.40, 95% CI 1.73-16.9; p=0.004). Consistent with these results, high CMV serology also predicted mortality risk among subjects who already had airflow limitation at enrolment (HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.20-3.68; p=0.009). CONCLUSIONS: We report a strong relationship between CMV serology and the risk of dying from COPD, and thus identify a novel risk factor for COPD mortality.

Serum levels of L1-ORF1p and airflow limitation.

In a population-based study, higher circulating levels of L1-ORF1p were associated with lower lung function levels and increased risk for airflow limitation among former smokers http://bit.ly/2ZEIjNv.

CC16 Levels into Adult Life Are Associated with Nitrogen Dioxide Exposure at Birth.

Rationale: Lung function and growth are adversely associated with nitrogen dioxide (NO2) exposure. Lower levels of circulating club cell secretory protein (CC16) in childhood are also associated with subsequent decreased lung function. NO2 exposure may induce epithelial damage in lungs and alter club cell proliferation and morphology.Objectives: To determine if increased ambient NO2 levels at participants' home addresses in early life were associated with decreased levels of CC16 from age 6 to 32 years.Methods: Participants were enrolled at birth in the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study and had circulating CC16 measured at least once between age 6 and 32. Linear mixed models were used to determine the association between estimated ambient NO2 exposure at participants' home address at birth or age 6 with CC16 levels from age 6 to 32.Measurements and Main Results: NO2 exposures at birth or age 6 were available for 777 children with one or more CC16 measurement. We found a negative association between NO2 exposure and CC16 levels, with a 4.7% (95% confidence interval, -8.6 to -0.7) decrease in CC16 levels from age 6 to 32 per interquartile range increase in NO2 exposure (6.0 ppb) at the participants' birth address. We observed modification by race (p interaction = 0.04), with stronger associations among participants with at least one black parent (-29.6% [95% confidence interval, -42.9% to -13.2%] per interquartile range). NO2 at participant's age 6 address was not significantly associated with CC16 levels (-1.9%; 95% confidence interval, -6.3 to 2.6).Conclusions: Higher exposure to NO2 at birth is associated with persistently low levels of CC16 from 6 to 32 years.

Club Cell Secretory Protein Deficiency Leads to Altered Lung Function.

RATIONALE: CC16 (club cell secretory protein-16), a member of the secretoglobin family, is one of the most abundant proteins in normal airway secretions and has been described as a serum biomarker for obstructive lung diseases. OBJECTIVES: To determine whether low CC16 is a marker for airway pathology or is implicated in the pathophysiology of progressive airway damage in these conditions. METHODS: Using human data from the birth cohort of the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study, we examined the relation of circulating CC16 levels with pulmonary function and responses to bronchial methacholine challenge from childhood up to age 32 years. In wild-type and CC16-/- mice, we set out to comprehensively examine pulmonary physiology, inflammation, and remodeling in the naive airway. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We observed that Tucson Children's Respiratory Study participants in the lowest tertile of serum CC16 had significant deficits in their lung function and enhanced airway hyperresponsiveness to methacholine challenge from 11 years throughout young adult life. Similarly, CC16-/- mice had significant deficits in lung function and enhanced airway hyperresponsiveness to methacholine as compared with wild-type mice, which were independent of inflammation and mucin production. As compared with wild-type mice, CC16-/- mice had significantly elevated gene expression of procollagen type I, procollagen type III, and α-smooth muscle actin, areas of pronounced collagen deposition and significantly enhanced smooth muscle thickness. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support clinical observations by providing evidence that lack of CC16 in the lung results in dramatically altered pulmonary function and structural alterations consistent with enhanced remodeling.

Non-atopic rhinitis at age 6 is associated with subsequent development of asthma.

BACKGROUND: It has been postulated that the association between allergic rhinitis and asthma is attributable to the progressive clinical expression of respiratory inflammation during childhood. The role of non-allergic rhinitis in early life in relation to subsequent asthma has not been extensively explored. OBJECTIVE: We sought to determine whether rhinitis in early life was associated with risk of asthma development into adulthood, and whether this relationship is independent of allergic sensitization. METHODS: Participants were identified from the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study, a non-selected birth cohort. Allergy skin prick testing was performed at age 6 years using house dust mix, Bermuda, mesquite, olive, mulberry, careless weed, and Alternaria aeroallergens. Atopy was defined as ≥1 positive tests. Physician-diagnosed active asthma from age 6 to 32 and physician-diagnosed rhinitis at age 6 were determined by questionnaire. Participants with asthma or active wheezing at age 6 were excluded from analyses. Risk estimates were obtained with Cox regression. RESULTS: There were 521 participants who met inclusion criteria. The hazard ratio for subsequently acquiring a diagnosis of asthma between the ages of 8 and 32 for those with non-atopic rhinitis was 2.1 (95% CI: 1.2, 3.4, P = 0.005), compared with the non-atopic no rhinitis group, after adjusting for sex, ethnicity, maternal asthma, maternal education and smoking, and history of 4+ colds per year at age 6. Among the atopic participants, both the active and no rhinitis groups were more likely to develop and have asthma through age 32. The relation between non-atopic rhinitis and asthma was independent of total serum IgE levels at age 6. CONCLUSION AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Childhood rhinitis, even in the absence of atopy, confers significant risk for asthma development through adulthood. These findings underscore the importance of non-allergic mechanisms in the development of asthma.

Measurement error correction in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator model when validation data are available.

Measurement of serum biomarkers by multiplex assays may be more variable as compared to single biomarker assays. Measurement error in these data may bias parameter estimates in regression analysis, which could mask true associations of serum biomarkers with an outcome. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) can be used for variable selection in these high-dimensional data. Furthermore, when the distribution of measurement error is assumed to be known or estimated with replication data, a simple measurement error correction method can be applied to the LASSO method. However, in practice the distribution of the measurement error is unknown and is expensive to estimate through replication both in monetary cost and need for greater amount of sample which is often limited in quantity. We adapt an existing bias correction approach by estimating the measurement error using validation data in which a subset of serum biomarkers are re-measured on a random subset of the study sample. We evaluate this method using simulated data and data from the Tucson Epidemiological Study of Airway Obstructive Disease (TESAOD). We show that the bias in parameter estimation is reduced and variable selection is improved.

Maternal Cytokine Profiles during Pregnancy Predict Asthma in Children of Mothers without Asthma.

Little is known about whether maternal immune status during pregnancy influences asthma development in the child. We measured cytokine production in supernatants from mitogen-stimulated peripheral blood immune cells collected during and after pregnancy from the mothers of children enrolled in the Tucson Infant Immune Study, a nonselected birth cohort. Physician-diagnosed active asthma in children through age 9 and a history of asthma in their mothers were assessed through questionnaires. Maternal production of each of the cytokines IL-13, IL-4, IL-5, IFN-γ, IL-10, and IL-17 during pregnancy was unrelated to childhood asthma. However, IFN-γ/IL-13 and IFN-γ/IL-4 ratios during pregnancy were associated with a decreased risk of childhood asthma (n = 381; odds ratio [OR], 0.33; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.17-0.66; P = 0.002; and n = 368; OR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.18-0.71; P = 0.003, respectively). The inverse relations of these two ratios with childhood asthma were only evident in mothers without asthma (n = 309; OR, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.08-0.42; P = 0.00007; and n = 299; OR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.07-0.39; P = 0.00003, respectively) and not in mothers with asthma (n = 72 and 69, respectively; P for interaction by maternal asthma = 0.036 and 0.002, respectively). Paternal cytokine ratios were unrelated to childhood asthma. Maternal cytokine ratios in mothers without asthma were unrelated to the children's skin-test reactivity, total IgE, physician-confirmed allergic rhinitis at age 5, or eczema in infancy. To our knowledge, this study provides the first evidence that cytokine profiles in pregnant mothers without asthma relate to the risk for childhood asthma, but not allergy, and suggests a process of asthma development that begins in utero and is independent of allergy.

Alternaria sensitisation at age 6 years is associated with subsequent airway hyper-responsiveness in non-asthmatics.

In the non-selected birth cohort Tucson Children's Respiratory Study, early sensitisation to Alternaria was associated with increased airway hyper-responsiveness (AHR) into adult life among non-asthmatics. The increase in AHR was of a similar magnitude to that seen for Alternaria sensitised asthmatics and was primarily evident among those who were overweight or obese. In contrast, there was no significant association between early sensitisation to aeroallergens other than Alternaria and AHR among non-asthmatics. Why this group of Alternaria sensitised individuals without asthma demonstrated increased AHR of a magnitude similar to asthmatics is unknown and requires further investigation.

A genome-by-environment interaction classifier for precision medicine: personal transcriptome response to rhinovirus identifies children prone to asthma exacerbations.

OBJECTIVE: To introduce a disease prognosis framework enabled by a robust classification scheme derived from patient-specific transcriptomic response to stimulation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Within an illustrative case study to predict asthma exacerbation, we designed a stimulation assay that reveals individualized transcriptomic response to human rhinovirus. Gene expression from peripheral blood mononuclear cells was quantified from 23 pediatric asthmatic patients and stimulated in vitro with human rhinovirus. Responses were obtained via the single-subject gene set testing methodology "N-of-1-pathways." The classifier was trained on a related independent training dataset (n = 19). Novel visualizations of personal transcriptomic responses are provided. RESULTS: Of the 23 pediatric asthmatic patients, 12 experienced recurrent exacerbations. Our classifier, using individualized responses and trained on an independent dataset, obtained 74% accuracy (area under the receiver operating curve of 71%; 2-sided P = .039). Conventional classifiers using messenger RNA (mRNA) expression within the viral-exposed samples were unsuccessful (all patients predicted to have recurrent exacerbations; accuracy of 52%). DISCUSSION: Prognosis based on single time point, static mRNA expression alone neglects the importance of dynamic genome-by-environment interplay in phenotypic presentation. Individualized transcriptomic response quantified at the pathway (gene sets) level reveals interpretable signals related to clinical outcomes. CONCLUSION: The proposed framework provides an innovative approach to precision medicine. We show that quantifying personal pathway-level transcriptomic response to a disease-relevant environmental challenge predicts disease progression. This genome-by-environment interaction assay offers a noninvasive opportunity to translate omics data to clinical practice by improving the ability to predict disease exacerbation and increasing the potential to produce more effective treatment decisions.